PANEL ON TRANSPORT
PURPOSE
This paper informs Members of progress on the Feasibility Study on Electronic Road Pricing (ERP).
BACKGROUND
2. In November 1994, the Working Party on Measures to Address Traffic Congestion published a report which recommended, inter alia, the commissioning of a technical consultancy to examine the feasibility of an ERP system in Hong Kong, a system based on the adoption of the "user pays" principle as a long term solution to the traffic congestion problem.
THE STUDY
3. On 7 June 1996, the Finance Committee approved the funding of $90 million for the feasibility study. The objective of the Study is to examine thoroughly the need, feasibility and effectiveness of introducing ERP in Hong Kong.
4. After a competitive process, an international consultancy led by Wilbur Smith Associates and Hyder Consulting was commissioned to conduct the study. The study will last 27 months. Work started on 10 March 1997 and is expected to be completed in June 1999. The scope of work includes -
5. An outline of the major elements of the study is in Annex A.
PRESENT POSITION
6. The Consultants have developed an ERP Transport Model with the aid of results from stated preference surveys. On the technology side, two preferred technology options have been identified and tenders for the field trial of them have been invited.
7. The current status of the major activities are as follows -
|
Activities |
Scheduled Completion Date |
Current Status |
|
(a) stated preference surveys and development of transport model |
late 1997 |
completed |
|
(b) evaluation of technology options |
late 1997 |
completed |
|
(c) field evaluation of technology options |
late 1998 |
tenders being assessed |
|
(d) formulation and evaluation of ERP strategies |
late 1998 |
- |
|
(e) conceptual design of ERP system |
early 1999 |
- |
|
(f) public consultation |
early 1999 |
- |
|
(g) final ERP strategy |
late 1999 |
- |
Stated Preference Surveys
8. Stated preference (SP) surveys were conducted in May 1997 to gather information on individuals' likely responses to a range of alternative ERP scenarios. 1,344 respondents completed the interviews. The following table summarises the estimated responses by motorists, based on results of the surveys, to a hypothetical ERP system involving a $20 charge to cross each of four screenlines (Kowloon External, C-C, Hong Kong Internal around Central, and Hong Kong External) in the AM and PM peak periods*.
|
Period |
Shift to Public Transport |
Time Shift |
Change to Park & Ride |
Change in Occupancy |
Trip Suppression |
|
AM |
15% |
24% |
1% |
4% |
0% |
|
PM |
13% |
27% |
1% |
3% |
0% |
|
Daily |
4% |
7% |
<0.5% |
1% |
0% |
* Only those trips directly affected by the assumed ERP charge (40% of all trips) are included in the table. The screenlines are illustrated in Annex B.
9. The table shows that during the peak periods 13 to 15% of motorists would switch to public transport and 24 to 27% would change the time of their trip to avoid paying the ERP charge.
Transport Model
10. The Study Team has developed a transport model to assess traffic conditions and the performance of the future road network with and without ERP. It is able to model the impact of ERP on traffic behaviour such as changes in transport mode, route, timing, destination, occupancy and demand. It is able to test the impact of alternative scenarios concerning -
The output of the model will also be used for assessing environmental impact of various ERP schemes.
Initial ERP Strategies
11. The need for ERP is currently being studied. It is anticipated that some initial strategy concepts would be formulated and alternatives to ERP would be evaluated in the coming three months.
Preferred Technology Options
12. The Study Team has recommended two preferred technology options.
Field Evaluation of Technology Options
13. The purpose of the field evaluation will assess if the technology options can correctly impose charges, classify vehicles and detect and record violators in a multi-lane unchannelised traffic situation with vehicle speeds varying from start and stop to high speeds.
14. Field evaluation of the selected technology options will be conducted under two separate contracts. Tender submission was closed on 20 February 1998. Two tenders for DSRC and three for VPS were received and are being assessed. According to the current schedule, the two contracts will be awarded in May 1998.
15. Concurrent with the field trials of the preferred technology options, the Study team will proceed to formulate and evaluate ERP strategies. This part of the Study is expected to be completed by late 1998.
Transport Bureau
March 1998
[TBCR 1/2061/89(97) Pt.8]